lunedì 23 maggio 2011

War evry where is war!!!

Darfur: Darfur Rebels in South Sudan…Tools for Future War
Posted on Monday, May 23 @ 00:10:00 UTC by admin

smc
Cautious tactic
Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM) capitalized on tension that erupted between the government and Darfur rebels, signatory to peace agreement.


After the general elections of 2010 these rebels lost many political positions, especially Mini Arku Minawi who is no longer holding the post of senior assistant to the president, Abulgasim Imam, former governor of West Darfur. The Movement (SPLM) put out bait for them to gain their support in its political campaign for south Sudan secession in the referendum, January 2011.


As a matter of fact, Minawi after losing control over his fighters and failing to gather them for reintegration process was quick to flee to Juba. Mr. Imam refused to be sworn in for state minister for youth and sports and preferred to travel accompanied by his stepson, Abdu Ashafie, and stay in Juba.


The presence of Darfur rebels in the south raises a lot of questions. Their position with SPLM remains ambiguous as SPLM is looking at perspectives of relations with North Sudan, which officially declared its support to the government of south Sudan in its quest for establishing well structured state.


It did not take long before SPLM in northern Sudan began to play a great role in fueling conflict over the region of Abyei, oil and currency, which was evident in its electoral campaign in South Kordufan. Things clearly got worse in the wake of Pagan Amum’s recent statements in which he accused the government in the north of supporting rebel factions within Sudan People’s Liberation Army (SPLA).


All said new developments in South Sudan’s government relations with its northern neighbor prompted the SPLA have begun to court Darfur rebels to use them as pressure tool to disturb Khartoum. On their part, the Darfur rebels have found accommodation and arms. But, the question is how would the situation look like after declaration of South Sudan breakaway?


Attempts to revive rebellion


In 2008 there was a call by SPLM for unifying Darfur rebel movements; however, Khartoum declined to comment on such call. The SPLM hawks attempted to bring the rebel together to Juba conference, which was ambiguous. Abdul Wahid apologized to attend the conference but his former deputy, Khamis Abdallah Abakar was present at the conference in Juba. He came to Juba from his residence in some Asmara suburbs accompanied an intelligence officer, field officers such as Sidiq Masalit, who refused to work under the command of Ahmed Abdulshafie; regrettably he was assassinated by SPLM intelligence together with a group of Darfurians. As the result, the vision for unifying the ranks of Darfur rebels died.


Attempts to revive rebellion renewed in the wake of the general elections of 2010 and before the South Sudan Referendum. Sudan People’s Liberation Movement wooed Minawi as well as a group of his fighters, notably his chief commander Jumaa Mohamed Hagar, chief of staff Mohamedain Bashar; besides political leaders including Ali Nazayo, former Member of Parliament, Dr. Arrayah Mahmoud, Minawi’s deputy chairman, Abdel Aziz Osman Sam, legal advisor for the movement, in order to mount pressure on Khartoum government to yield to south Sudan secession. On the contrary, the government in Khartoum was not in need of such pressure as the entire world testified to its fairness in respect of holding the referendum and accepting the result, which SPLM and its allies abroad had been working for.


Allies of evil


It is the SPLM’s allies abroad who are issuing orders to SPLM. Unfortunately, SPLM succumbs to such orders even if they are against the interests of southern citizens simply because SPLM is the product of foreign allies who pained a lot and now they want be paid back. These foreign allies involve intelligence agents and foreign organizations; but most notably the United State of America, Israel and Uganda, which worked as a bridge to ensure foreign supplies and support for the SPLM, as strong US ally in the region manifested in the United States African Command (AfRICOM). Cooperation between Uganda and South Sudan was evident in the visit of Uganda’s chief of staff to Juba at the behest of SPLM to be involved in quelling breakaway militias by specifying their strong holds in order to launch military attacks on them by Ugandan Air Force. This comes at a time Israeli delegation visited Juba on March 3011 to provide necessary support to the government of south Sudan. The two sides reached an agreement where the Israeli side would provide humanitarian support to SPLM, a $30 in military support to the movement’s operation in Abyei area; in addition to opening a security office to follow up on the situation in the region.


Needless to state conflict of US-Israeli and Chinese –French interests in the region, where Uganda is playing a leading role to guide SPLM. Under current regional developments, the Zionist State heavily relies on countries like Ethiopia, Uganda and Kenya to impose strong security belt on Sudan and Egypt, on one hand, and secure the Red Sea through military bases on the Eritrean islands of Fatma, on the other.


Moreover, Israel designs to impose a belt on Sudan and Egypt to control the Nile waters by erecting dams to distract these countries from Israeli expansion in Palestinian, Lebanese and may be Syrian territories if security and humanitarian situation continues to deteriorate in Syria. Expanding trade exchange with Africa is a matter of paramount importance for Israel, especially under ongoing turmoil in the Arab world in the wake of popular uprisings in some Arab countries.


As for the US, it is sole motive is oil. Recently, reports were leaked about US –Chinese conflict over southern Sudan oil. It was reported that Chinese oil companies had signed agreements with the government of south Sudan; in addition to US support to construct a pipeline to transport oil through Kenya to the Indian Ocean.


It regrettable that the government of South Sudan is more keen on serving US, Israeli and Ugandan interest rather than the historic interests of its own people with North Sudan. It has begun to court these countries and become hostile to the north with no clear reason. The SPLM already started to arm Darfur rebels to prepare them for moving to Darfur, a sign of a new war, especially the government through its shuffle diplomacy managed to cut supply lines coming from Chad, the Republic of Central Africa, while Libya in its turn cut off supplies coming from its soil. The Darfur rebels have been left with no options but resort to South Sudan for support and safe havens in case Sudan Army cracks down on them.

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